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Long-only trend following: buy at the next daily open after a close above the 20-day high, exit at the next open after a close below the 10-day low.
Read this first. This is the one approach that held up in testing (about +26% a year in the backtest, but with a -20% worst drawdown, about 1 in 5 twelve-month windows losing, and results flattered by using today's surviving coins). Only about 4 in 10 trades win: a few big winners pay for many small losses. Sizing rule: risk 0.5% of the account per trade (entry to the 10-day low), never more than 20% of the account in one coin, at most 10 open positions. It scans every 30 minutes, but signals only change at the daily close (00:00 UTC = 03:00 your time). Not financial advice. Paper account below starts from today.
Two ways to run it (same trades, tested on 4 years)
| Profile | How | Win rate | Return / yr | Max drawdown |
|---|
| Growth | Hold the whole position until price closes below the 10-day low | 40% | +23% | -22% |
| Steady | Sell half at +1R (the "Half-profit level" column), move the stop on the rest to your entry, then exit on the 10-day low | 50% | +14% | -13% |
Taking profits early raises the win rate but lowers the return by about the same proportion as the drawdown, so neither profile is better in risk-adjusted terms. Pick the one you can stick with.
Paper account ($10,000 start, forward from launch)
Already in an uptrend when the scanner started (entered on the dates shown; not counted in the paper account)
Watchlist: within 3% of a breakout
Daily candles. Blue = 20-day high (breakout level), red = 10-day low (exit level), yellow = entry.